Combat Edge Intelligence

Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-1-0Record13-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Academia OctogonoTeamCSW Training Center

What's at stake

Manoel Sousa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Richie Miranda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Manoel SousaNow 1754
If they win+13→ 1767
If they lose-19→ 1735
Richie MirandaNow 1686
If they win+19→ 1705
If they lose-13→ 1673

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.15
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.65
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Manoel SousaRichie Miranda
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (64%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
3 (21%)
Submission
3 (23%)
2 (14%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Manoel Sousa81%
Richie Miranda 19%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 81% favorite over Richie Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Manoel Sousa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1686, a 68-point edge.

Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Manoel Sousa finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Richie Miranda 62%.

Richie Miranda carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.