Manoel Sousa vs Richie Miranda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record13-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Manoel Sousa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Richie Miranda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1771
If they lose-19→ 1739
If they win+19→ 1706
If they lose-13→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Manoel SousaRichie Miranda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manoel Sousa73%
Richie Miranda 27%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 73% favorite over Richie Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Manoel Sousa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1687, a 71-point edge.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Manoel Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Richie Miranda 62%.
Richie Miranda carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.