Manoel Sousa vs Rustam Kerimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record22-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'5"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Academia OctogonoTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1687 avg Elo · 26 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1774
If they lose-16→ 1742
If they win+16→ 1773
If they lose-16→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Manoel SousaRustam Kerimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manoel Sousa60%
Rustam Kerimov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 60% favorite over Rustam Kerimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1758 vs 1757), separated by just 1 points.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Manoel Sousa finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Kerimov 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.