Combat Edge Intelligence

Mantas Kondratavičius vs Tom Breese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record18-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fighter HouseTeamTeam Renegade

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Mantas KondratavičiusNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646
Tom BreeseNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.55
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
33%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
60%
Strike defense
61%
13.64
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Mantas KondratavičiusTom Breese
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
2 (22%)
Submission
12 (67%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Mantas Kondratavičius60%
Tom Breese 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mantas Kondratavičius a 60% favorite over Tom Breese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1662 vs 1662), separated by just 0 points.

Mantas Kondratavičius enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Mantas Kondratavičius finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.