Manuel Del Valle vs Mike Graves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record11-2-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sevilla Fight CenterTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1680
If they lose-24→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manuel Del ValleMike Graves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manuel Del Valle51%
Mike Graves 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Del Valle a 51% favorite over Mike Graves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Graves's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.
Manuel Del Valle enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Manuel Del Valle finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mike Graves 73%.
Manuel Del Valle carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.