Manuel Exposito vs Phillipe Nover
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record11-8-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach72,0"
150 lbsWeight145 lbs
Entram Gym· 1674 avg Elo · 13 ratedTeamTeam Renzo Gracie
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Manuel ExpositoPhillipe Nover
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manuel Exposito59%
Phillipe Nover 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Exposito a 59% favorite over Phillipe Nover in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phillipe Nover's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1645 vs 1646), separated by just 1 points.
Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Manuel Exposito finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Phillipe Nover 55%.
Phillipe Nover carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.