Manuel Exposito vs Rasul Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record17-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
69"Reach-
150 lbsWeight171 lbs
Entram Gym· 1683 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamAchilles
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Manuel ExpositoRasul Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rasul Magomedov51%
Manuel Exposito 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 51% favorite over Manuel Exposito in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Manuel Exposito's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1656), separated by just 1 points.
Manuel Exposito finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.