Combat Edge Intelligence

Manuel Torres vs MarQuel Mederos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record12-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
73"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Manuel TorresNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
MarQuel MederosNow 1714
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.29
Sig. strikes / min
5.46
60%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.58
54%
Strike defense
53%
1.72
Takedown avg.
0.23
67%
Takedown accuracy
0%
91%
Takedown defense
83%
0.86
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Manuel TorresMarQuel Mederos
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
7 (41%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (6%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

MarQuel Mederos61%
Manuel Torres 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes MarQuel Mederos a 61% favorite over Manuel Torres in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1714), separated by just 3 points.

Manuel Torres finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, MarQuel Mederos 58%.

Manuel Torres carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.