Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc-André Barriault vs Oskar Piechota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record11-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPiranha Grappling Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marc-André BarriaultNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Oskar PiechotaNow 1650
If they win+15→ 1665
If they lose-17→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.65
Sig. strikes / min
3.30
47%
Strike accuracy
52%
5.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.93
49%
Strike defense
52%
0.34
Takedown avg.
0.61
7%
Takedown accuracy
40%
68%
Takedown defense
38%
0.09
Submission avg.
1.52

Trajectory

Marc-André BarriaultOskar Piechota
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
1 (6%)
Submission
5 (45%)
5 (29%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc-André Barriault52%
Oskar Piechota 48%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 52% favorite over Oskar Piechota in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Oskar Piechota's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1650), separated by just 12 points.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Oskar Piechota enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marc-André Barriault finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Oskar Piechota 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.