Marc-André Barriault vs Matej Penaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-0Record9-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamReinders MMA· 1603 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1667
If they lose-12→ 1643
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marc-André BarriaultMatej Penaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marc-André Barriault60%
Matej Penaz 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marc-André Barriault a 60% favorite over Matej Penaz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matej Penaz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1655 vs 1657), separated by just 2 points.
Matej Penaz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Marc-André Barriault finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Matej Penaz 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.