Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc-André Barriault vs Patrick Walsh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrick Walsh
us

Patrick Walsh

“The Beast of the East”

10-3-0HeavyweightCES

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight258 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamWai Kru MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marc-André BarriaultNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Patrick WalshNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
47%
Strike accuracy
19%
5.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
49%
Strike defense
65%
0.34
Takedown avg.
3
7%
Takedown accuracy
55%
68%
Takedown defense
100%
0.09
Submission avg.
1.50

Trajectory

Marc-André BarriaultPatrick Walsh
160016501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (20%)
5 (29%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marc-André Barriault and Patrick Walsh within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1639), separated by just 1 points.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marc-André Barriault finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Walsh 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.