Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc-André Barriault vs Vlasto Čepo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Vlasto Čepo
rs

Vlasto Čepo

“Vlasto / El Chapo”

14-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record14-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamAmerican Top Team Zagreb

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marc-André BarriaultNow 1637
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
Vlasto ČepoNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.65
Sig. strikes / min
0
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0.34
Takedown avg.
TBD
7%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.09
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marc-André BarriaultVlasto Čepo
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
1 (6%)
Submission
4 (29%)
5 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Vlasto Čepo61%
Marc-André Barriault 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vlasto Čepo a 61% favorite over Marc-André Barriault in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marc-André Barriault's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1636), separated by just 1 points.

Marc-André Barriault enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marc-André Barriault finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Vlasto Čepo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.