Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc Diakiese vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record24-20-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Marc Diakiese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Michael Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marc DiakieseNow 1641
If they win+11→ 1652
If they lose-13→ 1628
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-11→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
53%
Strike defense
59%
3.29
Takedown avg.
0.58
10%
Takedown accuracy
39%
67%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Marc DiakieseMichael Johnson
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (8%)
11 (61%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Diakiese59%
Michael Johnson 41%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Diakiese a 59% favorite over Michael Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Marc Diakiese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1613, a 28-point edge.

Marc Diakiese finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.