Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc Diakiese vs Rafael Fiziev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Rafael Fiziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marc Diakiese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marc DiakieseNow 1641
If they win+15→ 1656
If they lose-9→ 1632
Rafael FizievNow 1730
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-20→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.71
40%
Strike accuracy
53%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.84
53%
Strike defense
50%
3.29
Takedown avg.
0.83
10%
Takedown accuracy
67%
67%
Takedown defense
90%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marc DiakieseRafael Fiziev
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
1 (6%)
Submission
1 (7%)
11 (61%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael Fiziev87%
Marc Diakiese 13%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 87% favorite over Marc Diakiese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Rafael Fiziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1641, a 89-point edge.

Marc Diakiese finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.

Marc Diakiese carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.