Marc Diakiese vs Rafael Fiziev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Rafael Fiziev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Marc Diakiese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1622
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-20→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marc DiakieseRafael Fiziev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Fiziev75%
Marc Diakiese 25%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Fiziev a 75% favorite over Marc Diakiese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Rafael Fiziev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1631, a 100-point edge.
Marc Diakiese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marc Diakiese finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Fiziev 71%.
Marc Diakiese carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.