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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marc Diakiese vs Stevie Ray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Stevie Ray
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Stevie Ray

“Braveheart”

26-13-0WelterweightPFL

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamHigher Level MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marc DiakieseNow 1631
If they win+12→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1619
Stevie RayNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.93
53%
Strike defense
55%
3.29
Takedown avg.
0.75
10%
Takedown accuracy
46%
67%
Takedown defense
56%
0
Submission avg.
0.62

Trajectory

Marc DiakieseStevie Ray
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (23%)
1 (6%)
Submission
10 (38%)
11 (61%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Diakiese62%
Stevie Ray 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Diakiese a 62% favorite over Stevie Ray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Marc Diakiese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Stevie Ray enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marc Diakiese finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.

Marc Diakiese and Stevie Ray share 1 common opponent: Michael Johnson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2022
Michael Johnson
WinDecision (majority) · 2019