Marc Diakiese vs Teemu Packalen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73"Reach75,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamFinnfighters' Gym
What's at stake
Marc Diakiese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Teemu Packalen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1652
If they lose-13→ 1628
If they win+17→ 1627
If they lose-15→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marc DiakieseTeemu Packalen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marc Diakiese58%
Teemu Packalen 42%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Marc Diakiese a 58% favorite over Teemu Packalen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Marc Diakiese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1610, a 31-point edge.
Teemu Packalen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marc Diakiese finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Teemu Packalen 100%.
Teemu Packalen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.