Marc Stevens vs Ronald Humphrey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-12-0Record5-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top Team WatertownTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
Ronald Humphrey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Marc Stevens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1613
If they lose-11→ 1589
If they win+22→ 1652
If they lose-26→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marc StevensRonald Humphrey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ronald Humphrey88%
Marc Stevens 12%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Humphrey a 88% favorite over Marc Stevens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Ronald Humphrey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1600, a 30-point edge.
Ronald Humphrey enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Marc Stevens finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Humphrey 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.