Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcel Fortuna vs Moustapha Diakhaté

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record6-0-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
42,0"Reach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Ralph Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamValon Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcel FortunaNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Moustapha DiakhatéNow 1644
If they win+24→ 1668
If they lose-24→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
65%
Strike defense
Not available
0.45
Takedown avg.
Not available
8%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
75%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.45
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marcel FortunaMoustapha Diakhaté
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
5 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Moustapha Diakhaté53%
Marcel Fortuna 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Moustapha Diakhaté a 53% favorite over Marcel Fortuna in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1644), separated by just 2 points.

Moustapha Diakhaté enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Marcel Fortuna finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Moustapha Diakhaté 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.