Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcel Fortuna vs Vladimir Vasilyev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record14-5-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
42,0"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight187 lbs
Ralph Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamSport Club First Line

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcel FortunaNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Vladimir VasilyevNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.83
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
65%
Strike defense
TBD
0.45
Takedown avg.
TBD
8%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
75%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.45
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcel FortunaVladimir Vasilyev
16502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
5 (50%)
Submission
4 (29%)
4 (40%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Vladimir Vasilyev66%
Marcel Fortuna 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Vasilyev a 66% favorite over Marcel Fortuna in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcel Fortuna's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Marcel Fortuna finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Vasilyev 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.