Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcello Mello vs Yazid Chouchane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-14-1Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
TBDReach68"
205 lbsWeight156 lbs
Universidade da LutaTeamGP Sports Miramas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcello MelloNow 1530
If they win+24→ 1554
If they lose-24→ 1506
Yazid ChouchaneNow 1533
If they win+16→ 1549
If they lose-16→ 1517

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcello MelloYazid Chouchane
15501600200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

21 (78%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (4%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (19%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

Yazid Chouchane57%
Marcello Mello 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yazid Chouchane a 57% favorite over Marcello Mello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1533), separated by just 3 points.

Marcello Mello finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Yazid Chouchane 18%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.