Marcelo Golm vs Sergei Pavlovich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record21-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
42,5"Reach84"
266 lbsWeight260 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamEagles MMA
What's at stake
Sergei Pavlovich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Marcelo Golm carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1574
If they lose-6→ 1542
If they win+6→ 1815
If they lose-26→ 1783
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1730 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcelo GolmSergei Pavlovich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergei Pavlovich92%
Marcelo Golm 8%Elo baseline: 82%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergei Pavlovich a 92% favorite over Marcelo Golm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).
Sergei Pavlovich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1809 to 1548, a 261-point edge.
Marcelo Golm enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sergei Pavlovich enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Marcelo Golm finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sergei Pavlovich 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.