Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcelo Guimaraes vs Yi Sak Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-1Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKorean Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcelo GuimaraesNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Yi Sak LeeNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.67
Sig. strikes / min
0
52%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
1.99
Takedown avg.
TBD
14%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcelo GuimaraesYi Sak Lee
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (22%)
Submission
3 (38%)
6 (67%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Yi Sak Lee67%
Marcelo Guimaraes 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yi Sak Lee a 67% favorite over Marcelo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcelo Guimaraes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Marcelo Guimaraes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcelo Guimaraes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Yi Sak Lee 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.