Marcelo Guimaraes vs Yi Sak Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-1Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKorean Top Team· 1597 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcelo GuimaraesYi Sak Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yi Sak Lee62%
Marcelo Guimaraes 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yi Sak Lee a 62% favorite over Marcelo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcelo Guimaraes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1604), separated by just 2 points.
Marcelo Guimaraes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcelo Guimaraes finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Yi Sak Lee 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.