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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcelo Rojo vs Mohammad Yahya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marcelo Rojo
ar

Marcelo Rojo

“Pitbull”

17-10-0FeatherweightFFC

1566Solid

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamTK MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcelo RojoNow 1566
If they win+16→ 1582
If they lose-16→ 1550
Mohammad YahyaNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.92
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
40%
Strike accuracy
40%
6.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.39
55%
Strike defense
43%
0.46
Takedown avg.
0.50
50%
Takedown accuracy
20%
67%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Marcelo RojoMohammad Yahya
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (56%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
6 (38%)
Submission
2 (17%)
1 (6%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammad Yahya62%
Marcelo Rojo 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammad Yahya a 62% favorite over Marcelo Rojo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1568), separated by just 2 points.

Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marcelo Rojo finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Yahya 75%.

Mohammad Yahya carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.