Marcin Bandel vs Stevie Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-1Record26-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Zenith Vera Fight ClubTeamHigher Level MMA
What's at stake
Stevie Ray is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marcin Bandel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1619
If they lose-11→ 1595
If they win+15→ 1648
If they lose-17→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcin BandelStevie Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Stevie Ray66%
Marcin Bandel 34%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Stevie Ray a 66% favorite over Marcin Bandel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Stevie Ray holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1606, a 27-point edge.
Marcin Bandel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Stevie Ray enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcin Bandel finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Ray 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.