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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Held vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

31-11-0Record20-6-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
39,5"Reach68"
156 lbsWeight158 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1666 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin HeldNow 1688
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1692
If they win+12→ 1704
If they lose-12→ 1680

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
35%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
47%
Strike defense
64%
2.46
Takedown avg.
2.13
38%
Takedown accuracy
39%
38%
Takedown defense
100%
1.31
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcin HeldZubaira Tukhugov
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (13%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
16 (52%)
Submission
1 (5%)
11 (35%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Held55%
Zubaira Tukhugov 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Held a 55% favorite over Zubaira Tukhugov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zubaira Tukhugov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1692), separated by just 4 points.

Marcin Held finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.