Marcin Prachnio vs Mike Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record12-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
74"Reach82,5"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Marcin Prachnio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mike Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1598
If they win+17→ 1607
If they lose-15→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioMike Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marcin Prachnio and Mike Rodriguez within a point of even.
Marcin Prachnio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1590, a 21-point edge.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rodriguez 100%.
Marcin Prachnio and Mike Rodriguez share 1 common opponent: Devin Clark.
Mike Rodriguez carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.