Marcin Prachnio vs Modestas Bukauskas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record21-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
74"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-8→ 1592
If they win+8→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioModestas Bukauskas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas68%
Marcin Prachnio 32%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 68% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1600, a 124-point edge.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Modestas Bukauskas enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 71%.
Marcin Prachnio and Modestas Bukauskas share 1 common opponent: Vitor Petrino.
Modestas Bukauskas carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.