Marcin Prachnio vs Modestas Bukauskas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record20-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
74"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamGintas Combat
What's at stake
Modestas Bukauskas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1626
If they lose-9→ 1602
If they win+9→ 1716
If they lose-15→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioModestas Bukauskas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestas Bukauskas83%
Marcin Prachnio 17%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestas Bukauskas a 83% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Modestas Bukauskas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1611, a 96-point edge.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Modestas Bukauskas 70%.
Marcin Prachnio and Modestas Bukauskas share 1 common opponent: Vitor Petrino.
Modestas Bukauskas carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.