Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Prachnio vs Nick Roehrick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record9-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
74"Reach41,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin PrachnioNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
Nick RoehrickNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.57
Sig. strikes / min
2.31
54%
Strike accuracy
18%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.92
54%
Strike defense
44%
0.15
Takedown avg.
0
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcin PrachnioNick Roehrick
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (22%)
5 (29%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Roehrick63%
Marcin Prachnio 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Roehrick a 63% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1618), separated by just 7 points.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nick Roehrick 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.