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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Prachnio vs Nicollas Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record4-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
74"Reach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin PrachnioNow 1600
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Nicollas SantosNow 1600
If they win+24→ 1624
If they lose-24→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.52
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
55%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
0.14
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
53%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marcin PrachnioNicollas Santos
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (65%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
1 (6%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (29%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Prachnio60%
Nicollas Santos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Prachnio a 60% favorite over Nicollas Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1600), separated by just 0 points.

Marcin Prachnio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nicollas Santos enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nicollas Santos 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.