Marcin Prachnio vs Roland Dunlap
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record7-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
74"Reach79"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioRoland Dunlap
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roland Dunlap88%
Marcin Prachnio 12%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Roland Dunlap a 88% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcin Prachnio's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1607), separated by just 4 points.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.
Roland Dunlap carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.