Marcin Prachnio vs Todd Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record16-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamBulldog Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioTodd Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Prachnio53%
Todd Brown 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Prachnio a 53% favorite over Todd Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1606), separated by just 5 points.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Todd Brown 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.