Marcin Prachnio vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record15-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamCM System· 1648 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1616
If they lose-7→ 1592
If they win+9→ 1777
If they lose-23→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino83%
Marcin Prachnio 17%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 83% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1599, a 169-point edge.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 67%.
Marcin Prachnio and Vitor Petrino share 1 common opponent: Modestas Bukauskas.
Vitor Petrino carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.