Marcin Prachnio vs Vitor Petrino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
74"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamCM System
What's at stake
Vitor Petrino is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marcin Prachnio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1628
If they lose-7→ 1604
If they win+10→ 1762
If they lose-22→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioVitor Petrino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vitor Petrino92%
Marcin Prachnio 8%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Vitor Petrino a 92% favorite over Marcin Prachnio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Vitor Petrino holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1611, a 141-point edge.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Vitor Petrino enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Petrino 71%.
Marcin Prachnio and Vitor Petrino share 1 common opponent: Modestas Bukauskas.
Vitor Petrino carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.