Marcin Prachnio vs Wagner Prado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record18-8-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tatsujin DojoTeamBrazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcin PrachnioWagner Prado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Prachnio63%
Wagner Prado 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Prachnio a 63% favorite over Wagner Prado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Wagner Prado's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Marcin Prachnio enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcin Prachnio finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Wagner Prado 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.