Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Maxim Grishin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-11-0Record33-10-2
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"ReachTBD
247 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ankos MMATeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin TyburaNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Maxim GrishinNow 1724
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
55%
Strike defense
59%
1.30
Takedown avg.
0.21
33%
Takedown accuracy
17%
71%
Takedown defense
67%
0.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaMaxim Grishin
1750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
16 (48%)
7 (26%)
Submission
6 (18%)
10 (37%)
Decision
11 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Tybura66%
Maxim Grishin 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 66% favorite over Maxim Grishin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maxim Grishin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1724), separated by just 3 points.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Maxim Grishin 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.