Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Maxim Grishin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-12-0Record33-10-2
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"ReachTBD
247 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin TyburaNow 1708
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
Maxim GrishinNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
55%
Strike defense
59%
1.30
Takedown avg.
0.21
33%
Takedown accuracy
17%
71%
Takedown defense
67%
0.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaMaxim Grishin
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
16 (48%)
7 (26%)
Submission
6 (18%)
10 (37%)
Decision
11 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marcin Tybura and Maxim Grishin within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1710), separated by just 2 points.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Maxim Grishin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Maxim Grishin 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.