Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Phil De Fries

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-12-0Record25-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
78"ReachTBD
247 lbsWeight264 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin TyburaNow 1708
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
Phil De FriesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.30
48%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
55%
Strike defense
38%
1.30
Takedown avg.
3.29
33%
Takedown accuracy
43%
71%
Takedown defense
100%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaPhil De Fries
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
7 (26%)
Submission
14 (56%)
10 (37%)
Decision
5 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Phil De Fries51%
Marcin Tybura 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 51% favorite over Marcin Tybura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcin Tybura's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1707), separated by just 1 points.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Phil De Fries enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.