Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Ruslan Shamilov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-12-0Record18-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
78"Reach-
247 lbsWeight207 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin TyburaNow 1708
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
Ruslan ShamilovNow 1708
If they win+16→ 1724
If they lose-16→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
1.30
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
71%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.11
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaRuslan Shamilov
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
7 (26%)
Submission
6 (33%)
10 (37%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Ruslan Shamilov59%
Marcin Tybura 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Shamilov a 59% favorite over Marcin Tybura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcin Tybura's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1708 vs 1708), separated by just 0 points.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ruslan Shamilov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Shamilov 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.