Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Shamil Abdurakhimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-11-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"Reach76"
247 lbsWeight263 lbs
Ankos MMATeamPeresvet FT

What's at stake

Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Shamil Abdurakhimov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marcin TyburaNow 1721
If they win+10→ 1731
If they lose-14→ 1707
Shamil AbdurakhimovNow 1650
If they win+14→ 1664
If they lose-10→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
48%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
55%
Strike defense
55%
1.30
Takedown avg.
1.01
33%
Takedown accuracy
23%
71%
Takedown defense
45%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaShamil Abdurakhimov
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
7 (26%)
Submission
4 (20%)
10 (37%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Tybura78%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 22%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 78% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1650, a 71-point edge.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.

Marcin Tybura carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.