Marcin Tybura vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-11-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height7'0"
78"Reach84,5"
247 lbsWeight265 lbs
Ankos MMATeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Stefan Struve carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1731
If they lose-14→ 1707
If they win+14→ 1678
If they lose-10→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcin TyburaStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Tybura72%
Stefan Struve 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 72% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1664, a 57-point edge.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Marcin Tybura and Stefan Struve share 2 common opponents: Tai Tuivasa and Alexander Volkov.
Stefan Struve carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.