Marcin Tybura vs Stefan Struve
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-12-0Record29-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height7'0"
78"Reach84,5"
247 lbsWeight265 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Schrijber
What's at stake
Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Stefan Struve carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1717
If they lose-14→ 1693
If they win+14→ 1677
If they lose-10→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcin TyburaStefan Struve
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Tybura53%
Stefan Struve 47%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 53% favorite over Stefan Struve in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1663, a 44-point edge.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Stefan Struve enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Stefan Struve 93%.
Marcin Tybura and Stefan Struve share 1 common opponent: Tai Tuivasa.
Stefan Struve carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.