Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Tyrell Fortune

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-11-0Record18-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
78"Reach77"
247 lbsWeight256 lbs
Ankos MMATeamArizona Combat Sports

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcin TyburaNow 1721
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Tyrell FortuneNow 1729
If they win+16→ 1745
If they lose-16→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1720 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
2
48%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
55%
Strike defense
57%
1.30
Takedown avg.
3
33%
Takedown accuracy
60%
71%
Takedown defense
100%
0.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaTyrell Fortune
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
11 (65%)
7 (26%)
Submission
1 (6%)
10 (37%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyrell Fortune60%
Marcin Tybura 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyrell Fortune a 60% favorite over Marcin Tybura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1721 vs 1729), separated by just 8 points.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tyrell Fortune enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Tyrell Fortune 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.