Marcin Tybura vs Viktor Pesta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-12-0Record19-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"ReachTBD
247 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Viktor Pesta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1717
If they lose-14→ 1693
If they win+14→ 1652
If they lose-10→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcin TyburaViktor Pesta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Tybura74%
Viktor Pesta 26%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 74% favorite over Viktor Pesta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1638, a 69-point edge.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Viktor Pesta 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.