Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcin Tybura vs Viktor Pesta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

27-12-0Record19-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
78"ReachTBD
247 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ankos MMA· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Viktor Pesta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marcin TyburaNow 1708
If they win+9→ 1717
If they lose-15→ 1693
Viktor PestaNow 1633
If they win+15→ 1648
If they lose-9→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
1.58
48%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
55%
Strike defense
57%
1.30
Takedown avg.
3.29
33%
Takedown accuracy
29%
71%
Takedown defense
100%
0.11
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcin TyburaViktor Pesta
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (37%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
7 (26%)
Submission
7 (37%)
10 (37%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Tybura72%
Viktor Pesta 28%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 72% favorite over Viktor Pesta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1633, a 75-point edge.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marcin Tybura finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Viktor Pesta 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.