Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Marcus Hicks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record19-26-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamBlack Sheep MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443
If they win+12→ 1474
If they lose-12→ 1450
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1480 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcio Alexandre JuniorMarcus Hicks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marcio Alexandre Junior and Marcus Hicks within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1467 vs 1462), separated by just 5 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcus Hicks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Hicks 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.