Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Mike Moreno
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record6-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight183 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1573 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamPro Buhawe
What's at stake
Marcio Alexandre Junior is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Mike Moreno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1459
If they lose-25→ 1411
If they win+25→ 1446
If they lose-23→ 1398
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcio Alexandre JuniorMike Moreno
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior58%
Mike Moreno 42%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 58% favorite over Mike Moreno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Marcio Alexandre Junior holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1436 to 1421, a 15-point edge.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mike Moreno enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mike Moreno 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.