Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Ondřej Raška
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamJetsaam Gym Brno
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1491
If they lose-24→ 1443
If they win+16→ 1482
If they lose-16→ 1450
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcio Alexandre JuniorOndřej Raška
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ondřej Raška63%
Marcio Alexandre Junior 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 63% favorite over Marcio Alexandre Junior in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcio Alexandre Junior's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1467 vs 1466), separated by just 1 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.