Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Ondřej Raška
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1573 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamJetsaam Gym Brno· 1619 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marcio Alexandre Junior carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1462
If they lose-22→ 1414
If they win+14→ 1483
If they lose-18→ 1451
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcio Alexandre JuniorOndřej Raška
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Marcio Alexandre Junior and Ondřej Raška within a point of even.
Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1469 to 1436, a 33-point edge.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.