Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Rodrigo Ruas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record4-5-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight TeamTeamRuas Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1490
If they lose-25→ 1442
If they win+25→ 1483
If they lose-23→ 1435
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcio Alexandre JuniorRodrigo Ruas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rodrigo Ruas53%
Marcio Alexandre Junior 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Ruas a 53% favorite over Marcio Alexandre Junior in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcio Alexandre Junior's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1467 vs 1458), separated by just 9 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Ruas 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.