Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Trent Jenkins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record0-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1573 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1460
If they lose-24→ 1412
If they win+24→ 1466
If they lose-24→ 1418
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Marcio Alexandre JuniorTrent Jenkins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior54%
Trent Jenkins 46%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 54% favorite over Trent Jenkins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trent Jenkins's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1436 vs 1442), separated by just 6 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Trent Jenkins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.