Marcio Cabral vs Minoki Ichihara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record0-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight178 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamDaido Juku
What's at stake
Marcio Cabral is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Minoki Ichihara carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1522
If they lose-25→ 1474
If they win+25→ 1508
If they lose-23→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Marcio CabralMinoki Ichihara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Cabral78%
Minoki Ichihara 22%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 78% favorite over Minoki Ichihara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Marcio Cabral holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1499 to 1483, a 16-point edge.
Marcio Cabral finishes 69% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.