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Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcio Cabral vs Paul Herrera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record1-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamEmpire Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcio CabralNow 1499
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
Paul HerreraNow 1498
If they win+24→ 1522
If they lose-24→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Marcio CabralPaul Herrera
14501500200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (31%)
Decision
1 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral63%
Paul Herrera 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 63% favorite over Paul Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1498), separated by just 1 points.

Marcio Cabral finishes 69% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.