Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcio Cabral vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamW Thai

What's at stake

Rômulo Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Marcio Cabral carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marcio CabralNow 1497
If they win+27→ 1524
If they lose-21→ 1476
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1548
If they win+21→ 1569
If they lose-27→ 1521

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Marcio CabralRômulo Oliveira
14501500155020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
4 (31%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral53%
Rômulo Oliveira 47%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 53% favorite over Rômulo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rômulo Oliveira's way (43%).

Rômulo Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1548 to 1497, a 51-point edge.

Marcio Cabral finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.