Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcio Cabral vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Bonfim BrothersTeamW Thai

What's at stake

Rômulo Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Marcio Cabral carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Marcio CabralNow 1499
If they win+27→ 1526
If they lose-21→ 1478
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+21→ 1570
If they lose-27→ 1522

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Marcio CabralRômulo Oliveira
145015001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
4 (31%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral55%
Rômulo Oliveira 45%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 55% favorite over Rômulo Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rômulo Oliveira's way (43%).

Rômulo Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1549 to 1499, a 50-point edge.

Marcio Cabral finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.