Combat Edge Intelligence

Marcio Cabral vs Yuki Sasaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record25-22-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight180 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1595 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamGrabaka

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Marcio CabralNow 1499
If they win+23→ 1522
If they lose-25→ 1474
Yuki SasakiNow 1488
If they win+17→ 1505
If they lose-15→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.73
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Marcio CabralYuki Sasaki
1450150020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (69%)
KO/TKO
2 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
15 (60%)
4 (31%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcio Cabral75%
Yuki Sasaki 25%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Cabral a 75% favorite over Yuki Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1499 vs 1488), separated by just 11 points.

Yuki Sasaki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marcio Cabral finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Yuki Sasaki 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.